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After making the incorrect choice on the first touchdown, McDermott faced another 2-point decision on the next score. Cheap 98 Lotulelei Star NFL Jerseys,

Even live, not knowing Buffalo would definitely have another opportunity to score, the win probability heavily favored going for 2 Cheap Buffalo Bills NFL Jerseys, . It gave the Bills a 2 Buy NFL authentic jerseys, 5.4% chance to win by going for two, and Wholesale NFL Jerseys Free Shipping, 23.3% kicking the PAT. The break-even percentage was a 33% conversion rate so again, this should have been an easy choice to go for two.

Why? I like to think of this as, in a way, finding out the result of overtime in advance. Assume the Bills kick a PAT, like they did, and then kick a field goal, like they did. That puts them into overtime, where they have a slightly less than 50-50 chance to win the game. If they could have known the overtime result in advance that would have affected their decision-making.

Let’s say the Bills actually went for two here and failed, so they were down 27-23. Later, when they faced fourth-and-2 from the Tampa Bay 7-yard line with 22 seconds remaining, they would have known to go for it on fourth down because they would know they would have needed a touchdown.

Conversely, had they converted and been down 27-25, they would have known a field goal would win them the game and kicked.

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